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For subscribers » Oil and gas » Kazakhstan, Russia close to consensus on CPC expansion | 8 May 2008

Kazakh Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Sauat Mynbayev and Russian Industry and Energy Minister Viktor Khristenko have said they have reached a common position on the issue of expanding the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) pipeline.

 

The expansion of the CPC pipeline, which links the Kazakh Tengiz field with the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk, is expected to take place in two stages by 2012, when the final capacity of the CPC will be increased to 67m tonnes of oil.

 

Kazakhstan has pledged that some of the increase in oil supplies – 17m tonnes, which will be transported through the CPC will be pumped further through the projected Burgas-Alexandroupolis pipeline. However, the conditions of the consensus were not made public and it is not clear that this consensus is final.

 

In May 2007 Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev announced that former Russian President Vladimir Putin and he had agreed to increase of the CPC capacity to 40m tonnes; however, Mr Putin said that Russia was only studying this possibility.

 

Russia is reluctant to expand the CPC because it believes that it was not economically feasible unless tariffs were raised. There is no consensus on the issue of raising tariffs among CPC shareholders. However, the true reason for Russia’s reluctance to expand the capacity is that it is worried about competition from extra Kazakh oil for crossing through the straights in Turkey, which claims that the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles have already exhausted their capacities and that any more oil poses a threat of environmental disaster for the country’s largest city, Istanbul.

 

At the same time, the CPC has exhausted its current capacity of 30m tonnes of oil per year. Last year, it transported 32.6m tonnes. Tengizchevroil, the main supplier of oil into the CPC, announced that it expected to increase its oil output to 18.7m tonnes this year and to 25m tonnes in the near future. Chevron, a 50% shareholder in Tengizchevroil, has said that it would support alternative oil export routes, including Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline.